Group Testing against COVID-19

Discussion Paper
Olivier Gossner
Publication year: 2020

We show how group testing can be used in three applications to multiply the efficiency of tests: estimation of virus prevalence, releasing group to the work force, and testing for individual infectious status. For an infection level around 2%, group testing could potentially allow to save 94% of tests in the first application, 95% in the second, and 85% in the third one.

Attention, please!

Discussion Paper
Olivier Gossner, Jakub Steiner, Colin Stewart
Publication year: 2018

We study the impact of manipulating the attention of a decision-maker who learns sequentially about a number of items before making a choice. Under natural assumptions on the decision-maker’s strategy, forcing attention toward one item increases the likelihood of its being chosen.

An instrumental approach to the value of information

Discussion Paper
Michel de Lara, Olivier Gossner
Publication year: 2017

We consider an agent who acquires information on a state of nature from an information structure before facing a decision problem. How much information is worth depends jointly on the decision problem and on the information structure. We represent the decision problem by the set of possible payoffs indexed by states of nature. We establish and exploit the duality between this set on one hand and the value of information function, which maps beliefs to expected payoffs under optimal actions at these beliefs, on the other. We then derive global estimates of the value of information of any information structure from local properties of the value function and of the set of optimal actions taken at the prior belief only.